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Northam Cup "Discretionary" Handicapping
Harness & Greyhounds
JayJay
8,624 posts
I umm'd and ahh'd about raising this because handicappers always gets pies chucked at them and never chocolates. And discretionary handicapping is always subjective, always winners and losers.
But the Northam Cup Handicaps tonight seem on the surface to defy logic. Vinita Rose NR 73 off the front along with Dourado seemingly thrown in at NR 77, mixed in with NR 61 and 62 horses. Eclipse Line, an unforeseeable winner last night, was a NR 66 at acceptance time, fair enough, it is trying to beat the handicapper.
Off 10m, the water really gets murky. NR 70 and 72 horses along with the in form Northview Dance NR 84 and the out of form Don't Goin The Water NR 41. Now, Don't Goin The Water may be there because the front line was fully occupied and his connections were given the option, I don't know.....change of policy if it is now the case but that option was taken off the table for Busselton meetings..... but it is a huge disparity. If not, it is just plain absurd.
Last start metro stand winner off 40 metres Maungatahi who accounted for front marker Eclipse Line, avoids penalty for doing so with the difference still being 40 metres to Eclipse Line.
It still looks an interesting race but what is the discretion based on...NR, LTE or recent form...probably all three. I guess that is why it is an interesting race but it goes against proper handicapping. Similar to the Busselton Cup where both I'm The Best and Dawson avoided penalty for winning the week before and both still started of 50m. They ran first and second. Had they started of 60m, they probably still run 1/2 but they seemingly got a nice let up over the field.
In keeping with the shabby treatment the trots get from the supposedly even handed TABtouch, there are no fixed prices up as yet (all other harness meetings today tonight up and running...pathetic, no wonder we are behind the turnover 8 ball) to see how punters have assessed the race. I'm predicting no fancy offerings for either Dourado, Northview or Maungatahi (or last nights winner Eclipse Line for that matter).
+1 -1
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