That previous post is my Best Bet for today..... Just for you Bomber
Ridersonthestorm Quote carryover from previous thread.......I've got two bolters at 33/1 for a drum tomorrow - perfect odds for Albany - will try the reverse psychology trick - there both hopeless, have more unplaced runs that you can poke at stick at. Final two races, stablemates - Hostwin Pegasus and Lord Kronos. Very slow conveyances. Hope their reading!
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Not the final two races Riders but near enough and both do have a good chance.
Bomber declared Toru Waimarie when $11 on the other thread and he has since plunged it into $7.5
it could be $3 on the fixed markets but if they know it won't be winning you'll get double figures+ on BF - can't see it trading for any less than $8-$9 myself
Apollo drawn to get a great run today have a crack Boys,my two year old Saturday has drawn wide but he’s one to watch for the future will mature into a really nice horse.
Just checked results and a few replays - bombers special - nowhere, watch replay - late scratching that's ok it's a collect!
Miss Pins happy with her, finished off well in the maiden, not a slashing run but reasonably ok, but after Rosie, Nice Go, and Wiener Waltz yesterday another second.
Lord Kronos he was honest, and yep second...there's always one! Place div not bad though.
Hostwin Pegasus haven't seen yet but guessing not much chop.
Last night watched a replay of when Tranquilla Sunrise ran last - went to the line under a throttle hold - then as know won at big odds next start, today thought why can't it when again - then saw is a 10 year old - pass. Bad habit.
What can't workout...why do punters go to over 100/1 to lay Scoreline ? So that's basically a layer who's got say 5k to spare in his Betfair account saying ok you can put $50 on with me at just over 100/1 on Scoreline thinking that's an easy $50.
However why risk 5k for $50 ?
Wonder how many 50/1 - 100/1 pops you could lay before got one wrong ? But that's the key I guess never get one wrong.
To me there are 50/1 to 100/1 chances that really well and truly have no hope - but their are others at that price not so sure about writing off - eg. Scoreline. Put it this way there's no possible way would've bet 100/1 despite thinking it's probably got the job ahead of it.
Think I'd rather lay a Doc Friar at 7/2 or 4/1 than a Scoreline at 100/1. However in saying that do I reckon could lay one single 66/1 chance a day and never get it wrong - yep sure do!
So the guy who laid Scoreline at over 100/1 he's paid a big price. But to win just say $100 a day on 100/1 pops - why not ? Just don't get one wrong...that's if I'm reading right.
Or does that guy try and get an even better price Scoreline back it and can't lose either way. So that's why the odds keep drifting...a lot are trying to get a result where they can't lose - lay - bet back.
But the profit would only be small I guess.
I'd lay odds on fave's that think are risky - the bettor has to put a lot on to win not much. Get a few of them going your way as a layer and that might be the way to go.
Comments
Final two races, stablemates - Hostwin Pegasus and Lord Kronos. Very slow conveyances. Hope their reading!
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1, 4, 5, 8, 10
1, 4, 6 (sub), 8, 9
2, 4, 6, 8
4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 10
$55 for 9.16%
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;))
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Alive in Doomben with 3,8, 15 or 16
that thing is a goat
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Miss Pins happy with her, finished off well in the maiden, not a slashing run but reasonably ok, but after Rosie, Nice Go, and Wiener Waltz yesterday another second.
Lord Kronos he was honest, and yep second...there's always one! Place div not bad though.
Hostwin Pegasus haven't seen yet but guessing not much chop.
Age shall not weary them sometimes.
Ridersonthestorm33 likes this post.
Tote punters don't stand a chance - that's the way I see it.
However why risk 5k for $50 ?
Wonder how many 50/1 - 100/1 pops you could lay before got one wrong ? But that's the key I guess never get one wrong.
To me there are 50/1 to 100/1 chances that really well and truly have no hope - but their are others at that price not so sure about writing off - eg. Scoreline. Put it this way there's no possible way would've bet 100/1 despite thinking it's probably got the job ahead of it.
Think I'd rather lay a Doc Friar at 7/2 or 4/1 than a Scoreline at 100/1. However in saying that do I reckon could lay one single 66/1 chance a day and never get it wrong - yep sure do!
So the guy who laid Scoreline at over 100/1 he's paid a big price. But to win just say $100 a day on 100/1 pops - why not ? Just don't get one wrong...that's if I'm reading right.
But the profit would only be small I guess.
I'd lay odds on fave's that think are risky - the bettor has to put a lot on to win not much. Get a few of them going your way as a layer and that might be the way to go.
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